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基于扎根理论-云模型的山区公路弃渣场风险研究

Risk analysis of abandoned slag field in mountainous highway based on root theory-cloud model

  • 摘要: 为了对弃渣场作业进行安全管控、预防事故,需要对弃渣场安全等级进行评价。基于扎根理论编码73份弃渣场基础资料,得到三级编码结果,并选取21个范畴为弃渣场安全评价的指标层,选取自然条件、弃渣物理性质、弃渣场、边坡、管理等5个影响因素作为弃渣场安全评价的准则层。采用改进的AHP法来计算主观权重,通过熵权法来计算客观权重,最后利用差异系数法将主观权重和客观权重相结合,得出最终的指标综合权重。根据现有技术规定总结归纳安全等级,并绘制评估标准云,利用MATLAB结合云模型得出弃渣场的安全等级。结合案例评价结果和实际情况,提出了弃渣场作业中预防安全事故的建议。结果表明,该模型的弃渣场安全等级的案例运用与实际情况相符合,从而验证了所建指标体系的合理性和评价模型的有效性,为高速公路弃渣场项目的管理者提供参考。

     

    Abstract: In order to carry out safety control and accident prevention for the operation of the slag dump, the safety level of the slag dump is evaluated. Based on the grounded theory, 73 basic data of waste slag yard were coded, and the three-level coding results were obtained. 21 categories were selected as the index layer of safety evaluation of waste slag yard, and 5 influencing factors such as natural conditions, physical properties of waste slag, waste slag yard, slope and management were selected as the criterion layer of safety evaluation of waste slag yard. Then, the improved AHP method is used to determine the subjective weight, the entropy weight method is used to determine the objective weight, and the difference coefficient method is used to determine the comprehensive weight of the index. According to the existing technical regulations, the safety level is summarized and the evaluation standard cloud is drawn. The safety level of the abandoned slag yard is obtained by using matlab combined with the cloud model. Finally, combined with the case evaluation results and the actual situation, the suggestions for preventing safety accidents in the operation of the slag dump are put forward. The results show that the case application of the safety level of the waste slag yard of the model is consistent with the actual situation, which verifies the rationality of the index system and the effectiveness of the evaluation model, and provides reference for the managers of the highway waste slag yard project.

     

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